Hello Everyone!
Welcome back to the Friday Video update from the Bitcoin Data Newsletter!
First, we’ll be discussing my thoughts for the short-term, followed by my post on X for the day extending the most accurate Bitcoin Log Regression Curves.
There’s many data points lining up at the layer 6 Halving Cycles Theory target: 130k.
Enjoy!
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You’ll also be able to view live TradingView versions of these charts that you can edit and make your own here. The Standard Log Regression Curves are available on the Models Page for free.
Quick Summary
For several weeks, price has continued to grind along the top of an important channel as resistance
I have no firm calls for the immediate future, and I am waiting for long-term data to reach important levels
Likely pull back points to watch are 32k, and 34k in the event of a drop
I think there is more potential in store for price, and regardless of any short-term corrections the entire move is likely not complete
One the full move is complete, a long sideways period becomes likely (6 months or slightly more)
I am still watching the 48k level according to the magic bands
The log regression curves point to 3 targets for the Halving Cycles Theory Nov 28th, 2025: 94k, 130k or 180k
I think 130k is most likely based on multiple models and projections
I discussed the first cycle gains projection, the trend pattern price model, and the gann square projections all which point to 130k
Hey CC
Love the log regression model and found it on Tradingview.
How did you extend those lines? What tool did you use?
Much appreciated
Great vid!
Outstanding job, CC.